Gabelli Gold Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GLDIX Fund  USD 55.08  2.40  4.56%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gabelli Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gabelli Gold is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gabelli Gold Fund are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Gabelli Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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The Gabelli Gold Fund, Inc. Q3 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
12/24/2025
Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2025
Expense Ratio1.1900
  

Gabelli Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,798  in Gabelli Gold Fund on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,710  from holding Gabelli Gold Fund or generate 45.02% return on investment over 90 days. Gabelli Gold Fund is currently producing 0.6584% returns and takes up 2.7226% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 24% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Gabelli, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gabelli Gold is expected to generate 3.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Gabelli Gold Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
55.08
Please note that Gabelli Gold's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Gabelli Gold retains a regular Real Value of $58.53 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $55.08. We determine the value of Gabelli Gold from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Gabelli Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Gabelli Mutual Fund. However, Gabelli Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  55.08 Real  58.53 Hype  54.92 Naive  52.84
The intrinsic value of Gabelli Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Gabelli Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
58.53
Real Value
61.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Gabelli Gold Fund helps investors to forecast how Gabelli mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Gabelli Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Gabelli Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.9653.6662.36
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.2054.9257.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.1252.8455.56
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Gabelli Gold Fund extending back to October 30, 2008. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Gabelli Gold stands at 55.08, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 55.08 and the lowest price hitting 55.08 during the day.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Gabelli Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gabelli Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 55.08 90 days 55.08 
about 11.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.0 (This Gabelli Gold Fund probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gabelli Gold has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gabelli Gold Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gabelli Gold Fund has an alpha of 0.5699, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gabelli Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gabelli Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.2054.9257.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.5758.5361.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.1252.8455.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.9653.6662.36
Details

Gabelli Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gabelli Gold Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
6.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Gabelli Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%
Gabelli Gold retains 98.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gabelli Gold Fundamentals Growth

Gabelli Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gabelli Gold, and Gabelli Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gabelli Mutual Fund performance.

About Gabelli Gold Performance

Evaluating Gabelli Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Gabelli Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gabelli Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of foreign and domestic issuers principally engaged in gold related activities and gold bullion. The adviser focuses on stocks that are undervalued, but which appear to have favorable prospects for growth. Because most of the worlds gold production is outside of the United States, the advisor expects that a significant portion of the funds assets may be invested in securities of foreign issuers, including those located in emerging markets.

Things to note about Gabelli Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%
Gabelli Gold retains 98.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Gabelli Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gabelli Gold's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Gabelli Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gabelli Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gabelli Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gabelli Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gabelli Gold's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gabelli Gold's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Gabelli Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gabelli Gold's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gabelli Gold's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Gold security.
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